Polls Apart

​All polls differ. And for all I know, the ABC/Washington Post Poll is on the outer edges compared to others. Or not. There are definitely other polls I've seen that have better numbers for Trump (though "better" is relative, since the Gallup Poll numbers are "better" but at 41% approval their lowest for a long time.) However the new ABC/WaPo poll shows Trump with a 36% approval and 60% disapproval, his all-time disapproval high in their poll. And the 36% equals their poll's low for him. 

By the way, this includes 53% who "strongly" disapprove -- and that's perhaps most critical going into a mid-term election when turnout is low, and voter enthusiasm is critical.

More important when looking at poll results is their OWN trend, and this has Trump down four points since their last poll.

Also, support for the Mueller investigation is...up. It's at 63% approval, and only 29% disapproval. (And 52% pack it "strongly.)  Which suggests that the storyline that Trump team efforts to undermine public support is waning.

Especially troubling for Trump is the poll's look at one particular group.  It says that the biggest change in any group is that of college-educated white women.  Only 23% approve of Trump, which is down 17 points from its high a year ago last April.  Similarly, disapproval with this group is up 20 points since April, 2017.  Disapproval by college-educated white women now stands at 75%.

There is one area that Trump has been especially promoting his claimed-successes heavily, and that's the economy, which he has called the best in American history.  Clearly, the economy is no longer in the recession that existed under George W. Bush -- in part due to the work of the Obama Administration.  But the public turns out to be less sanguine about things under Trump than Trump, on his "best" issue.  There is a 45% approval of his handling of the economy, with 47% disapproval.

Again, to be clear, this is just a single poll, and while respectable, it is not one of the "most respected" polls.  It's important to look at what all the top polls say, and how (as I mentioned) a poll's own trends are going.  But even in that context, this here fits in solidly.  It's numbers may be worse for Trump than other polls, but a) they're in reasonable like with them, and b) it's the most recent, so arguably it's more accurate.

You can see the full story here.