According to the polling organization, the former governor has had success painting his opponent as a liberal. Ms. Colbert Busch saw her favorable opinion drop 56-31% to 50-44%. That's still +6, of course. And it remains the biggest hurdle for Mr. Sanford, whose favorable rating remains negative and about the same as before, at 43%-54%, for -11.
On the one hand, this bodes well for the former governor, since he's moving in the positive director and his opponent is dropping. On the other hand, it bodes well for Ms. Colbert Busch, since polls tend to suggest that when a known candidate (as is Sanford) has a negative favorability -- and by -11 points -- then public ultimately won't vote for that person when they actually enter the ballot booth.
The election for South Carolina's First District is tomorrow. What this means is that either Elizabeth Colbert Busch will will, or Mr. Sanford will win. Or -- congressional districts are too small a sample to poll. Or not.