The Late Night Mid-Term Report
It's still early in the evening here in Los Angeles -- 8:15, so there's a lot more to go in the counting of votes and there's a lot left to be definitive. But some things are definitive, and leading that list is the projection that Democrats will take control of the House.
This is huge, needless-to-say. It means that whatever else happens the rest of the night: House Democrats will control committees, have subpoena power and be able to hold hearings.
On a personal level, I'm watching closely to see how good my prediction from a year ago, last November, was. In that article here, I gave about half-a-dozen detailed reasons why I thought Democrats would pick up 30-40 seats (which I predicted before there was gerrymandering. At the moment, MS NOW is projecting that Democrats will end up gaining a minimum of 19 seats. So, we're getting there.
I also think that even if Democrats don't flip Maine and Ohio (both races once being considered "must wins" and both being toss-up at the moment) they will take control of the Senate. After all, they have to hold all their seats and flip four states. And right now, they are projected to flip North Carolina and South Carolina and James Talarico in Texas (Texas!) and Ohio. And And Kansas (Kansas! Which hasn't had a Democratic senator in 96 years!). And that's five seats flipped, when Democrats only need four. And there are still Iowa and Alaska that might flip, as well as Ohio and Maine. And the big loser appears to be, no, not MAGOPs, they're only the second biggest loser. The biggest loser is Trump. Not just for all these races being a huge repudiation of him, but because he pushed his party's incumbent senators out in North Carolina and Texas, and got Darline Graham to run in South Carolina. And all three of those states flipped. And there goes the Senate. And committee control, subpoena power and confirmation of judges.
And the night is young. More in the morning. Including governor races -- like where Greg Abbott just conceded to Democrat Gina Hinojosa...

Comments