Low Energy

I have no idea if Sen Joe Manchin (D-WV) is actually in serious consideration as Energy Secretary, If Rick Perry moves to Homeland Security. His office says there have been no recent talks -- though that suggest previous talks. And his office didn't shoot down the suggestion.  But IF it's real, and IF he takes it, the ACA vote is back on table. His replacement would be named by the West Virginia governor -- and that's the guy who just switched back from Democrat to the Republican Party.  So, if a Republican is named to replace the Democratic spot, the Senate vote will now be 50-50, and Mike Pence would break the tie.

There are a few "howevers."

The suggestion that Manchin will be names is still a big "IF."

Also, we don't know how many Republicans voted "Yes," on the last bill because the knew John McCain would vote "No," and the bill wouldn't pass, so they were safe to vote "Yes."

But also, I don't fully follow the logic why Manchin would take the job.  He's up for re-election, and it's a tough race.  So, that could be a reason.  BUT -- he's a smart guy.  Taking a job in the Trump administration not only ruins his reputation, but it's likely a dead-end job, for an administration under powerful assault from investigation and which could collapse.  And he also would know that his leaving would be a crushing blow to health care.

It seems very unlikely.  But I don't know.  Trump is apparently returning to Washington on Monday in a change of plans, for a "big meeting."  That could be a press conference, and it could be to deal with cabinet position shifts.  But that doesn't mean it will play out this way.  Well...well see.