I was going to write an article this morning about how the election results for Democrats were far, far closer to a Blue Wave than I think most people originally perceived. That's because the evening started slowly, and because several Democratic favorites went down to disappointing defeat. But as the results kept coming in later in the evening -- very late on the East Coast after many had gone to sleep -- and the vote counting is continuing to go on with even more Democratic victories, and even a couple of those losses by Democratic favorite have turned out not be be sure defeats yet after all, the extent of how well Democrats did is a very different story than initially perceived.
But rather than me going into all the details, I thought instead I'd turn the floor over to Chris Hayes, who began his All In show on MSNBC yesterday with a bravura explanation of all the specifics. Unfortunately, when I went to post this piece this morning, the video from YouTube has been taken down, and although his All In website has numerous videos posted from his show, this one isn't available, at least not yet.
And at this point, alas I'm hard-pressed to remember all the details, especially since I was relying on the video and not taking notes. I'll do the best I can, from what he said, as well, as others, though I'm forgetting some of the specifics which are a little fuzzier than I'd otherwise prefer.
Whereas the normal House pick-up during a mid-term election for the party out of power in the White House is 20-25 seats, it looks now like Democrats might flip up to 35 seats, and maybe even more, one of the biggest turnarounds in years. And while it looked like Democrats might lose three Senate seats, with Jon Tester in Montana losing his re-election and Kyrsten Sinema in Arizona being defeated, that's no longer the case. It turns out that Tester ended up winning his race, and Sinema has pulled ahead in hers. And this is in a Senate year that heavily favored Republicans who had a third as many candidates up for re-election as did Democrats.
Further, on a national scale, there were 317 districts where voting for Democrats shifted blue over two years ago. And the average increase for Democrats across the country was between 8-10 points.
Democrats also picked up seven governorships, including in three red states, and only lost one. (And the race in Georgia is currently undecided.) That will give Democrats 22 governorships after holding a paltry 16 previously. Three states now will have full Democratic control in their upper and lower houses and governor's office. And a majority of states will have Democratic attorneys general.
There is more, but that's the best I can do at the moment. It will have to suffice. Given the results, I think that it does...
Robert J. Elisberg is a political commentator, screenwriter, novelist, tech writer and also some other things that I just tend to keep forgetting.
Feedspot Badge of Honor